Well, I've done a small calculation.
Very simple method, the picture your trying to click has an almost size of 700 X 765, meaning the total number of pixels is around 535,500
The maximum number of prizes is 45.

So, 45 pixel are the only pixels out of the 535,500 other pixels that contains a gift.

45/535,500 = 0.000084

Meaning, if you want to know what is your chance out of hundred to win,
it is 0.0084 out of hundred.

For those whom already won, you where very lucky

For others playing, now @ the moment, the prizes are 33,
So the chance is obviously lot less, Good Luck.

UNDER 900000000000000000000

Not great.

i like those odds!!!

You're wrong. The picture is 701x766 so your chances are significantly less.

quote:

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Originally posted by ICD
i like those odds!!!

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quote:

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Originally posted by Volv
You're wrong. The picture is 701x766 so your chances are significantly less.

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Yeah, but that's still wrong - because you can click as many times as you like.

i can see this calulation having letters for meaning before it ends....

quote:

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Originally posted by aberrate
Yeah, but that's still wrong - because you can click as many times as you like.

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I can conclude the probably of winning a prise is extremely low . I find this a clever way to think of trying your luck:

'The lottery is a tax on people bad at Maths'

With 536966 co-ordinates

and 27 prizes left

that makes...

a chance of....

0.0000502825

or

0.00502825/100

or

roughly

5/100000

so

if everyone in a america (roughly) clicked randomly at the same time, 15057 would get a prize.

lawl i have 0% because i am using 4.22 ;o

chances! ^_^
after a discussion in the "results from the 2nd week", it is now understood that you don't get all the 45 prizes at once, but they are slowly released throughout the contest.
being a little bit less optimistic, with a grid of 701x766 (though... I find it unlikely that the prizes are at the edges), the chance for a single, totally random click is indeed 1.8*10^-6 which is 0.0000018
(a little less than 2 in a million)

in one hour, you can click about 400 to 600 clicks, and that gives you
a chance of about 0.0007~0.0011, which is about 1 in a thousand.
following that line, if you continuously click until you've won, you have a 10% chance of winning within the first 4 to 6 (depending on your rate of clicking) days of non stop, 24 hours clicking. A 90% chance of winning is only achieved within 128 solid days of clicking (aka you have a 10% chance of winning only after 128 days =/)

luckily (or, unluckily) there are thousands of players so prizes goes quickly.

never tell me the odds!


- han solo

thank you for teaching me how to calculate a simple percentage

Seriously though, this has been posted heaps of times already

Closed.

quote:

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Originally posted by Nefzen
it is now understood

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