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Originally posted by Volv
EDIT: But then again ofcourse he may just be tricking them.
Another thing I also thought of is how Ben is very good at reverse psychology - did you ever think that maybe he wants them to signal the boat for some reason or another?
I don't think he wanted them to send the message, Jack was obviously going to send the message anyway, so he wouldn't have turned up and told him something that could potentially throw him off.
I think this was on of the few times we've seen Ben be honest, but in a "boy who cried wolf" scenario, noone listened to him and all the sheep are going to get killed.