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RE: hard drive problem
All hard drive manufacturers offer drive diagnostics utilities. Download and run one for your drive.
I think it's very likely to be a failing drive, but for what it's worth, when I had this problem with my Linux machine, it turned out to be bad onboard IDE controller. It was easy to tell because that computer had 3 hard drives and was intermittently losing not one but both drives on the same IDE interface. I fixed it by switching all the drives to a Promise controller card I had laying around.
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