What happened to the Messenger Plus! forums on msghelp.net?
Shoutbox » MsgHelp Archive » General » General Chit Chat » Probobility Question? MATH

Pages: (2): « First « 1 [ 2 ] Last »
Probobility Question? MATH
Author: Message:
John Anderton
Elite Member
*****

Avatar

Posts: 3908
Reputation: 80
37 / Male / Flag
Joined: Nov 2004
Status: Away
RE: Probobility Question? MATH
quote:
Originally posted by groessl35
quote:
Originally posted by rix
Logically it would be 30%?! But heey, im not a rocket scientist.

That would be my guess... I'm too lazy to figure it out... and it makes a point... lol.
no way is it 30% if you knew how to find probability. Then again i think you are too young to learn that in class ?? I dont know ... i learnt it in year 12 ... our education system kinda sucks tbh :P
[

KarunAB.com
]

[img]http://gamercards.exophase.com/459422.png[
/img]
02-14-2006 02:01 PM
Profile E-Mail PM Web Find Quote Report
markee
Veteran Member
*****

Avatar

Posts: 1622
Reputation: 50
36 / Male / Flag
Joined: Jan 2006
RE: Probobility Question? MATH
[code]You could also use binomial probability distribution functions or binomial cumulative distribution functions.

n = # or trials
p = P(success)
r = # of successes

in form of:
binompdf(n,p,r)    or
binomcdf(n,p,r)

n = 2
p = 0.6        {decimal of 60%)

only 1 success

binompdf as only one point is wanted

r = 1

binompdf(2,0.6,1) = 0.48 = 48%

more than 1 success

binomcdf as multiple points are wanted (in this case binompdf would also work)

I will take the cumulative probability or all integers from before 1 and take this away from total probability (1 or 100%)

r=0       {the first integer preceeding 1}

1 - binomcdf(2,0.6,0) = 1 - 0.16 = 0.84 = 84%

Just another way of proving the answer but this is more simple (only takes a couple of numbers to enter and really basic maths) and will be more valuable later when dealing with more complex questions.  Hope I helped and not confused you more, if you need more explaination just PM me.

quote:
Originally posted by rix
Logically it would be 30%?! But heey, im not a rocket scientist.


I can see that :P

*Markee runs

This post was edited on 02-14-2006 at 04:15 PM by markee.
[Image: markee.png]
02-14-2006 04:09 PM
Profile PM Find Quote Report
.Roy
Veteran Member
*****

Avatar

Posts: 1526
Reputation: 11
20 / Male / –
Joined: Aug 2004
O.P. RE: Probobility Question? MATH
Thanks guys, forgive me for not wording my question exactly as I ment it.

I ment it happening AT LEAST once, the one with the 84%.

Thanks again :P

P.S I needed this for a certain game, and I wanted the thing to happen at least once, the more the marrier but i ended up getting them both to be the right one :P. Yay for 36%.


Oh and the probobility stays the  same in all the tries. Meaning you dont take out anything from the "bag".

This post was edited on 02-14-2006 at 08:02 PM by .Roy.
02-14-2006 07:57 PM
Profile PM Web Find Quote Report
Pages: (2): « First « 1 [ 2 ] Last »
« Next Oldest Return to Top Next Newest »


Threaded Mode | Linear Mode
View a Printable Version
Send this Thread to a Friend
Subscribe | Add to Favorites
Rate This Thread:

Forum Jump:

Forum Rules:
You cannot post new threads
You cannot post replies
You cannot post attachments
You can edit your posts
HTML is Off
myCode is On
Smilies are On
[img] Code is On