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What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
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Nefzen
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RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
chances! ^_^
after a discussion in the "results from the 2nd week", it is now understood that you don't get all the 45 prizes at once, but they are slowly released throughout the contest.
being a little bit less optimistic, with a grid of 701x766 (though... I find it unlikely that the prizes are at the edges), the chance for a single, totally random click is indeed 1.8*10^-6 which is 0.0000018
(a little less than 2 in a million)

in one hour, you can click about 400 to 600 clicks, and that gives you
a chance of about 0.0007~0.0011, which is about 1 in a thousand.
following that line, if you continuously click until you've won, you have a 10% chance of winning within the first 4 to 6 (depending on your rate of clicking) days of non stop, 24 hours clicking. A 90% chance of winning is only achieved within 128 solid days of clicking (aka you have a 10% chance of winning only after 128 days =/)

luckily (or, unluckily) there are thousands of players so prizes goes quickly.
06-18-2007 05:44 PM
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Messages In This Thread
What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Xirex on 06-12-2007 at 11:17 AM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by prashker on 06-12-2007 at 11:18 AM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Oxy on 06-12-2007 at 11:41 AM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by joey on 06-12-2007 at 12:29 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Volv on 06-12-2007 at 12:58 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by joey on 06-12-2007 at 01:01 PM
RE: RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Xirex on 06-12-2007 at 01:21 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by aberrate on 06-12-2007 at 01:25 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by joey on 06-12-2007 at 01:29 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Volv on 06-12-2007 at 02:03 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by absorbation on 06-12-2007 at 02:39 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Active_Camo on 06-14-2007 at 12:16 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by NanaFreak on 06-14-2007 at 12:19 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Nefzen on 06-18-2007 at 05:44 PM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by kevinlock on 06-23-2007 at 06:59 AM
RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest - by Chrono on 06-23-2007 at 08:47 AM


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