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What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
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absorbation
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RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
I can conclude the probably of winning a prise is extremely low :zippy:. I find this a clever way to think of trying your luck:

'The lottery is a tax on people bad at Maths'
06-12-2007 02:39 PM
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Active_Camo
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RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
With 536966 co-ordinates

and 27 prizes left

that makes...

a chance of....

0.0000502825

or

0.00502825/100

or

roughly

5/100000

so

if everyone in a america (roughly) clicked randomly at the same time, 15057 would get a prize.
06-14-2007 12:16 PM
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NanaFreak
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RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
lawl i have 0% because i am using 4.22 ;o
06-14-2007 12:19 PM
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Nefzen
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RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
chances! ^_^
after a discussion in the "results from the 2nd week", it is now understood that you don't get all the 45 prizes at once, but they are slowly released throughout the contest.
being a little bit less optimistic, with a grid of 701x766 (though... I find it unlikely that the prizes are at the edges), the chance for a single, totally random click is indeed 1.8*10^-6 which is 0.0000018
(a little less than 2 in a million)

in one hour, you can click about 400 to 600 clicks, and that gives you
a chance of about 0.0007~0.0011, which is about 1 in a thousand.
following that line, if you continuously click until you've won, you have a 10% chance of winning within the first 4 to 6 (depending on your rate of clicking) days of non stop, 24 hours clicking. A 90% chance of winning is only achieved within 128 solid days of clicking (aka you have a 10% chance of winning only after 128 days =/)

luckily (or, unluckily) there are thousands of players so prizes goes quickly.
06-18-2007 05:44 PM
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kevinlock
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RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
never tell me the odds!


- han solo
06-23-2007 06:59 AM
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Chrono
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RE: What Is Your Chance of Winning in The Contest
thank you for teaching me how to calculate a simple percentage 8-)

Seriously though, this has been posted heaps of times already :P

Closed.

quote:
Originally posted by Nefzen
it is now understood
no, it's been there from the beggining of the contest in the rules section, which you should've read btw :P
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06-23-2007 08:47 AM
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