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Probobility Question? MATH
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John Anderton
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RE: Probobility Question? MATH
quote:
Originally posted by groessl35
quote:
Originally posted by rix
Logically it would be 30%?! But heey, im not a rocket scientist.

That would be my guess... I'm too lazy to figure it out... and it makes a point... lol.
no way is it 30% if you knew how to find probability. Then again i think you are too young to learn that in class ?? I dont know ... i learnt it in year 12 ... our education system kinda sucks tbh :P
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02-14-2006 02:01 PM
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markee
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RE: Probobility Question? MATH
[code]You could also use binomial probability distribution functions or binomial cumulative distribution functions.

n = # or trials
p = P(success)
r = # of successes

in form of:
binompdf(n,p,r)    or
binomcdf(n,p,r)

n = 2
p = 0.6        {decimal of 60%)

only 1 success

binompdf as only one point is wanted

r = 1

binompdf(2,0.6,1) = 0.48 = 48%

more than 1 success

binomcdf as multiple points are wanted (in this case binompdf would also work)

I will take the cumulative probability or all integers from before 1 and take this away from total probability (1 or 100%)

r=0       {the first integer preceeding 1}

1 - binomcdf(2,0.6,0) = 1 - 0.16 = 0.84 = 84%

Just another way of proving the answer but this is more simple (only takes a couple of numbers to enter and really basic maths) and will be more valuable later when dealing with more complex questions.  Hope I helped and not confused you more, if you need more explaination just PM me.

quote:
Originally posted by rix
Logically it would be 30%?! But heey, im not a rocket scientist.


I can see that :P

*Markee runs

This post was edited on 02-14-2006 at 04:15 PM by markee.
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02-14-2006 04:09 PM
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.Roy
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O.P. RE: Probobility Question? MATH
Thanks guys, forgive me for not wording my question exactly as I ment it.

I ment it happening AT LEAST once, the one with the 84%.

Thanks again :P

P.S I needed this for a certain game, and I wanted the thing to happen at least once, the more the marrier but i ended up getting them both to be the right one :P. Yay for 36%.


Oh and the probobility stays the  same in all the tries. Meaning you dont take out anything from the "bag".

This post was edited on 02-14-2006 at 08:02 PM by .Roy.
02-14-2006 07:57 PM
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